Skip to main content

      US VC investment remained strong in Q3’26, with $98.4 billion invested across 3,626 deals, despite a decline from the exceptional totals recorded in the first half of the year. AI continued to attract significant capital, with investor interest expanding beyond models and applications into infrastructure, computing power and energy.


      Q3'26 highlights from the US
      • Venture activity remained strong after an exceptional first half
      • AI captured a large share of investment attention
      • Capital expanded into compute, energy, manufacturing and physical AI
      • Secondaries strengthened as a core liquidity option
      • Fundraising favored established managers and larger vehicless

      AI investment expands across the supporting ecosystem

      AI remained the leading theme in United States venture investment, but the focus continued to broaden beyond models and consumer applications. Investors increasingly targeted the infrastructure and capabilities required to support AI at scale, including compute, semiconductors, data centers, energy generation, advanced manufacturing, robotics and defense. This wider ecosystem approach reflects both demand for capacity and a search for durable, differentiated opportunities. Outside AI-related areas, investment remained more selective, with greater emphasis on revenue traction, defensibility and a credible path to scale.

      Liquidity options develop as fundraising stays concentrated

      The United States exit environment remained relatively stable, even as some anticipated listings moved later. Public-market activity continued to improve compared with recent years, while acquisitions and secondary transactions provided additional liquidity pathways. Secondaries are increasingly viewed as a core part of the venture market rather than a fallback option, particularly for investors seeking positions in companies that remain private longer. Fundraising also improved, but capital continued to favor established managers and larger vehicles, while first-time funds faced a much more challenging environment.

      Physical AI and defense gain momentum

      Investor attention is moving toward technologies that connect AI with the physical world. Robotics, autonomous systems, logistics and advanced manufacturing are attracting interest because they can address practical industrial needs and support broader productivity gains. Defense technology is also drawing more capital amid geopolitical uncertainty, cybersecurity concerns and greater focus on government demand. Together, these themes reinforce a shift toward capital-intensive technologies with clear strategic relevance, specialized capabilities and potential barriers to entry.


      Trends to watch for in Q4’26

      AI is expected to remain the leading focus for United States venture investors, with increasing attention on companies that address constraints across the broader ecosystem. Semiconductors, compute capacity, energy and manufacturing are likely to remain important as demand for infrastructure grows. Physical AI should also gain momentum across robotics, autonomous systems, logistics and defense. Investors are expected to remain selective outside the strongest themes, prioritizing revenue traction, defensibility and measurable value. Liquidity conditions may continue to improve through public listings, acquisitions and secondary transactions, while fundraising is likely to remain concentrated among established managers and larger funds.


      While we aren’t like where we were back in 2021 times, we are seeing a pretty stable VC boom market — which is good. Money-wise, a lot is still trending toward the AI space, but we’re starting to see that investment diversify well beyond AI models. In particular, we’re starting to see a bit of a slowdown in money going to AI applications, and a much larger focus now going to physical AI, energy infrastructure, compute, and all of the things that sit below the application. That’s definitely a positive trend as it will help build a more robust ecosystem.

      Shivani Sopory

      Audit Partner

      KPMG in the US

      Venture Pulse Q3’26

      Explore the latest deals, sector shifts and venture capital trends through the third quarter of 2026.

      Explore the reports


      Q3'26 Global Venture Pulse Report

      Explore global venture capital investment, deal activity, sector trends and the outlook for Q4'26


      Our people

      Carolina de Oliveira

      Global Lead of Emerging Giants, KPMG International and Partner and Private Enterprise Leader KPMG Brazil and South America Cluster

      KPMG in Brazil

      Lindsay Hull

      Senior Director, KPMG Private Enterprise, Emerging Giants Network

      KPMG International